Friday, June 5, 2009

Guthrie on the Move?

The O's are apparently entertaining the idea of moving Jeremy Guthrie (hat tip to MLBTR), which is interesting for a couple reasons:

1.  Guthrie's value is a little inflated because his salary this season is just $650K, which makes him more attractive to budget-conscious contenders (the Brewers, Reds, Rays, and Twins come to mind). 

2.  While he is technically the O's staff ace, his future place in the rotation is a bit more murky. In a good rotation he really slots in more as a 4th-5th starter, and as the O's young arms continue to bubble to the surface, he becomes more and more expendable.

My initial reaction to the possibility of trading Guthrie was "no way," if only because he has been the O's lone dependable starter for about two seasons now.  A closer look reveals that his value may never be higher to the O's, at a time when his arbitration numbers will continue to increase and he approaches free agency.  I think the haul for Guthrie, given what he really is, could be a pleasant surprise.  Considering Philadelphia's pitching woes, MacPhail should have Phil's GM Ruben Amaro on speed dial.

From the same article there is word that Danys Baez is more likely to be traded.  Personally I think Baez is fool's gold, but he has reestablished some value by having a decent start to the season

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